Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 8.444012 9.694629 11.087576 12.757751 14.710766 16.928019 19.644134
2025-01-26 6.965999 8.617751 10.615379 13.223325 16.558827 20.709303 26.307634
2025-02-02 6.021259 7.861456 10.224252 13.508809 18.001096 23.994303 32.702803
2025-02-09 5.452224 7.439200 10.119139 14.044276 19.724255 27.764890 40.223520
2025-02-16 4.744133 6.708409 9.466044 13.682139 20.075562 29.587310 45.150452
2025-02-23 4.248841 6.202024 9.044020 13.560379 20.706523 31.833223 50.980044
2025-03-02 3.841334 5.769048 8.665705 13.432939 21.274240 34.005111 56.961934
2025-03-09 3.480819 5.363351 8.275584 13.223573 21.656402 35.886657 62.689765
2025-03-16 3.151896 4.970472 7.858997 12.911507 21.807994 37.366423 67.886027
2025-03-23 3.037503 4.908316 7.963676 13.475460 23.524534 41.786120 79.220169
2025-03-30 2.862919 4.727687 7.849780 13.640120 24.534309 45.034497 88.787479
2025-04-06 2.666890 4.491366 7.615686 13.558501 25.066938 47.431864 96.990352
2025-04-13 2.473014 4.244921 7.346454 13.393349 25.439732 49.606321 105.193422
2025-04-20 2.392167 4.191532 7.416824 13.876346 27.150092 54.728116 120.845315
2025-04-27 2.292697 4.094519 7.396210 14.176707 28.521346 59.326009 136.147762
2025-05-04 2.234332 4.067842 7.503478 14.741530 30.516935 65.567042 156.624990
2025-05-11 2.068569 3.823049 7.168530 14.359472 30.404937 67.031382 165.346902
2025-05-18 1.946453 3.652706 6.964637 14.231028 30.841018 69.828274 178.096250
2025-05-25 1.834317 3.492963 6.767919 14.096599 31.244781 72.601379 191.329763
2025-06-01 1.722983 3.326158 6.542682 13.875769 31.417228 74.825681 203.466122
2025-06-08 1.610555 3.148733 6.280997 13.546652 31.288778 76.267081 213.614931
2025-06-15 1.590270 3.159677 6.416729 14.141451 33.512188 84.178920 245.059897
2025-06-22 1.534093 3.090789 6.374857 14.315144 34.692638 89.473059 269.515554